论文概要
自第二次中日战争日本败降后，至今已59年；另外自1972年中日建交之后，也已32年了；但日本在战争责任问题上，虽然官方承诺要“深刻反省”，但其朝野之主流势力始终是悍然“自反而不缩”，而且每隔一段时间就有日本内阁官僚发表诡词辩说，否认或半否认战时在华的某些证据确凿的罪行与暴行；日本首相甚至自1982年之后很多位都以首相身份每年前往参拜日本对外侵略象征的靖国神社，使中华民族永远无法对日本当年侵华的历史创伤忘怀。特别是由于1998年11月江泽民先生访问日本时，日本首相小渊惠三拒绝就中日历史问题如他曾对韩国一样表示“深刻反省与道歉”，而且小渊也拒绝对台湾问题如美国总统一样表示“三不”，使当前中日之间的三座大山、历史问题、台湾问题与钓鱼岛主权问题，一直悬而未决。种种事实与迹象都表现的非常清楚，当前中日“政冷经热”的现况实际是一种假象：日本政府虽然口称“不支持台独”，实际却假手日本在野或地方政府中的新军国主义右翼人士如中岛?雄、石原慎太郎之流出面，利用台湾海峡两岸可能发生的军事冲突，作为突破目前中日对峙之局的一个突破口，以达到它抑制与破坏中国和平崛起的大战略，甚至重温日本再返台湾的美梦。日本朝野合作在这方面的所作所为，正如过去甲午战争（1894??1895）前日政府之利用日本浪人所组织的玄洋社、黑龙会等组织，完全一样，而当前日本的这类“浪人”组织则为“日本台湾学会”、“美日台研讨会”等之类。
众所周知，李登辉于1999年7月9日悍然宣布的“两国论”是与1997年9月日美签定的“防务合作指针”（即所谓《新指针》）有关系的，而且日本根据此美日军事合作的《新指针》所确定的配合性法律，即《周边事态法》、《自卫队法部分修订》与《日美相互提供物资与劳务修订协定》等（即所谓《有事三法》），一旦于1999年4月27日为日本众议院与参议院所通过，两个多月之后，明显地在日本新军国主义者的阴谋设计下，李登辉即匆匆宣布了“两国论”（中岛?雄于1999年5月访台、石原慎太郎于同年12月访台）??其目的是想促成台海大战，而且将美国引入大战，以美国为日本的“马前卒”，为日本“火中取栗”。
“日本台湾学会”虽说是以学术研究为目的，但在1999年之前与其后，在挑拨与制造台独方面也扮演着相当重要的角色。这也是本文想要讨论的一个项目。
Scrutiny of the Japanese New Militarist’s Conspiracy Toward Taiwan
Li Enhan
Abstract
Fifty-nine years have passed since the Japanese surrender after the Second Sino-Japanese War and 32 years since the establishment of diplomatic relationships between China and Japan. However, regarding the question of war responsibilities, even though the Japanese government has acknowledged that it will “contemplate these matters seriously〔深刻反省〕”, the majority of the people in both government and private sectors still arrogantly declare “contemplate them but with no shame〔自反而不?〕.” Moreover, periodically high government officials make ambiguous statements; they either deny or semi-deny certain irrefutable crimes and atrocities committed by the Japanese army in China during the war. Additionally, every Japanese Prime Minister since 1982 has paid annual visits to the Yasakuni Shrine, a symbol of Japanese aggression, reinforcing the Chinese people’s resolve to never forget the past history of Japanese aggression against them. During former Chinese President Jiang Zemin’s official visit to Japan in November 1998, then Japanese Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi〔小?惠三〕refused to declare “serious contemplation and apology” as he did to Korea, nor was he willing to announce the “Three No” position on the question of Taiwan as was done by the US President. These actions leave three major issues between China and Japan suspended and unresolved: the historical problem, the Taiwan problem, and the sovereignty of Tiaoyu Tai Islands〔??台〕. These facts and behaviors clearly indicate that the reality of “cool political but warm economical〔政冷??〕” policy is just a fa?ade.
Even though the Japanese Government announced that it “will not support Taiwan independence,” it was in fact utilizing such ultra-rightists as Nakashima〔中??雄〕, Ishihara〔石原慎太郎〕and the like, taking advantage of a possible military conflict across the Taiwan Strait to achieve its strategy of suppressing and crushing the peaceful emergence of China, or even daydreaming of returning Taiwan to Japanese control.
The current coordinated work by Japanese public and private sectors is the same as prior to the first Sino-Japanese War of 1894-1895. Then the Japanese government was using the ultra-right secret societies formed by ronins〔浪人〕; and now it is using “The Japan Association for Taiwan Studies〔日本台???〕”, “USA-Japan-Taiwan Research Institute〔美日台研??〕,” etc, formed by modern-day ronins.
It is well known that the “Two-Nation〔???〕” statement unabashedly made by President Lee Tenghui on July 9, 1999 is related to the “The Guidelines for Japan-USA Defense Cooperation〔日美防?合作指?〕” signed by Japan and the United States in July, 1997. Based on these guidelines, three related new laws were drafted and passed by the Diet on April 27, 1999. It took only two months before Lee Tenghui made the “Two-Nation” statement, obviously schemed by the new Japanese militarists, (note that Nakashima visited Taiwan in May of 1999, and Ishihara in December of the same year). Their goal is to incite a flare-up in the Taiwan Strait, and drag the United States into the conflict as Japan’s pawn, allowing Japan to pull a “chestnut out of the fire.”
Even though “The Japan Association for Taiwan Studies” claims that its objective is for academic studies, this organization has played an important role in inflaming and fabricating the “Taiwan Independence” movement around 1999. This particular subject will also be covered in this paper.